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Clean-tech and environmentally conscious investing
Table of Contents:
Areas of Focus
Clean-tech and environmentally conscious investingIn 2007, global investment in renewable-energy businesses rose by 60% from 2006, and reached $148.4 billion (in new investments in just 2007), according to New Energy Finance (NEF), a research firm. The idea of making money while saving the planet is attracting talent from traditional venture capital-backed areas such as Silicon Valley.
Challenges for Cleantech Venture Capital:
But the big problem for many cleantech plays, particularly energy production related deals, is that a huge amount of capital is needed to scale these deals up. There are a handful of VCs who have recognized this and have focused on building an expertise in project finance (VantagePoint comes to mind). But many VCs, it appears, have invested in cleantech plays without thinking through the longer term problem of how the technology they're funding will scale up. Many deals will likely face a 'getting to market' problem. Funding a proof of concept is expensive and will probably be funded by initial investors. But will mainstream project finance sources then be able to take the idea and run with it? That transition is difficult and not well understood by many VCs. The key problem is that project finance doesn't do technology risk and one prototype probably won't be enough to address that risk.
In the end, there may be a lot of losses in this space, particularly given the relative lack of potential acquirers (assuming the continued lack of an IPO market).
Comparison to nanotech investment bubbles of the past...
The ultimate problem for VC-backed nanotech companies is that most of them were technologies without products. Kind of like if Google had created its breakthrough search algorithms in 1985. Cleantech companies, on the other hand, almost always have a clear vision of their products and market opportunity. Their problem is getting the technology to work. It's obviously a more fundamental risk, but also should give VCs better guidance when it comes to follow-on financings or cutting bait.
"When you look at the technology companies (not the project companies) in the cleantech space, then you will notice that the vast majority of them are novel materials companies. The vast majority of these novel material technologies are nanotech-based. In other words: Cleantech is the market for which Nanotech has been waiting"
see also our KookyPlan discussion on: nanotechnology
Reasons for this trend:
other issues driving the interest in clean-tech and environment-investing
Innovative Ideas
Government regulation & stimulation
germany as a role model? see: http://www.economist.com/research/articlesBySubject/displaystory.cfm?subjectid=8780295&story_id=10961890
Clean Tech topics covered by KookyPlan analysis:(links to KookyPlan pages)
News sources around the net:
Lots of investment, but not enough talent = job opportunities
Industries of Focus
Energy
Automobile industryInnovations in the Automobile Industry are key to reducing global warming. Some innovative companies such as Honda, Toyota, or the new "Tesla Motors" are doing some very interesting things in this sector... the European Car industry is leading the way in emmisions regulations. Electric cars are coming. See the latest innovations from Tesla Motors and more...New diesel engines
Agricultureagriculture might not sound like an interesting topic for entrepreneurship, but think about renewable energy from corn, soy
Construction
green bricks ? A new process to manufacture bricks from the waste from coal-burning energy plants.
Furniturefurniture industry and the environment
Foodin response to the US ethanol policy, we see food (corn getting more expensive)
Traveltravel industry impact on the environment
Transportation and green tech
electric propulsion for ships, cruise ships, and airplanes?
Green Datacenter. The “greening” of the datacenter will continue to be a top priority for corporations as the cost of simply powering the center begins to exceed the cost of the servers and devices in it. Key drivers to help reduce the overall carbon footprint and run more efficient centers will include intelligent sensors and advanced analytics to monitor and improve equipment utilization to reduce downtime and provide comprehensive operational visibility. Green datacenters are also increasingly becoming part of corporate social responsibility campaigns, so expect increased focus here.
Global locations of clean-tech investments
Brazil alternative energy market
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Global locations of clean tech consumers:
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Investments
Hype & Hope“Greentech could be the largest economic opportunity of the 21st century,” said one prominent venture capitalist.
Clean tech
This year, VCs have already invested more than $3.64 billion into green technology startups according to a survey by the Cleantech Network, a 13 percent rise over the same period last year. Investments were made in a range of sectors including renewable and distributed energy, advanced materials, transportation and water purification/management.
Which green technologies will prove to be truly world-changing, which will be good investments, and which will turn out to be over-hyped? What government actions will have the greatest impact? Will funding continue to grow at the impressive rate experienced in the past 24 months or is another bubble set to burst? Where are the opportunities in the lower-tech side of clean tech including recycling, fuel cell membranes, green building, and conservation? Is there a downside to being green?
Energy efficiency
According to a recent study by McKinsey, a consultancy, the world could save over half of the greenhouse gases, and get an investment return of 17% if it were to invest heavily in energy efficiency (an easy step to take, as compared to investments in alternative energy sources, for example). They estimate "that investment in energy efficiency of about $170bn a year worldwide would yield a profit of about 17 per cent, or $29bn", according to FT.com. see our discussion on the economics of energy efficiency.
Clean-tech and environmentally conscious investing
Investments in clean technologies are alternatives to coal and the oil industry. Within the energy industry, there are many business models being explored as there are a confluence of factors that are combining to make this a very interesting sector. To begin with, the high price of oil, and the US fear of dependence on foreign sources of energy are resulting in much renewed emphasis on exploring new methods of powering our cars, homes, airplanes, and so on. Also, as the fear of global warming reaches a critical mass, we are seeing an increased consumer demand for clean tech products.
Clean tech first emerged in widespread use to describe a group of emerging technologies, industries, and financial asset classes based on principles of biology, resource efficiency, and second-generation production concepts in basic industries. Examples include energy efficiency, selective catalytic reduction, non-toxic materials, water purification, solar energy, and new paradigms in energy conservation.
Since the 1990s, interest in these technologies has increased with two trends: a decline in the relative cost of these technologies and a growing understanding of the link between industrial design used in the 19th century and early 20th century, such as fossil fuel power plants, the internal combustion engine, and chemical manufacturing, and an emerging understanding of human-caused impact on earth systems resulting from their use (see wikipedia articles on: ozone hole, acid rain, desertification, and global warming).
Clean tech ncludes the wind power, solar power, biomass, hydropower, biofuels, information technology, electric motors, lighting, and many other appliances that are now more energy efficient. It is a means to create electricity and fuels with a smaller environmental footprint. And it is the need to make green buildings both more energy efficient and environmentally benign. Environmental finance is a method by which new clean technology projects that have proven that they are "additional" or "beyond business as usual" can obtain financing through the generation of carbon credits. A project that is developed with concern for climate change mitigation (such as a Kyoto Clean Development Mechanism project) is also known as a carbon project.
Clean Edge, a clean-tech research firm, defines clean tech as "a diverse range of products, services, and processes that harness renewable materials and energy sources, dramatically reduce the use of natural resources, and cut or eliminate emissions and wastes." It notes that "Clean technologies are competitive with, if not superior to, their conventional counterparts. Many also offer significant additional benefits, notably their ability to improve the lives of those in both developed and developing countries"
Alternative Energy/Cleantech. In 2008, global interest in cleantech will continue to grow as competitive players emerge in unexpected geographies outside the United States. Beyond investment in alternative energy, there will be a great demand for technologies that allow energy consumers (businesses and homeowners) and producers (utilities) to monitor, manage, distribute and use energy more efficiently. Look for more investment in companies in the areas of energy efficiency, advanced water management, intelligent utility networks, energy caching and storage, and demand-side conservation and smart metering tools.
Questions:
Can a renewable energy (wind farm, solar farm, biodiesel power station, etc) produce both renewable energy certificates (REC's) as well as carbon offsets?
Can the owner of a wind farm or biodiesel power station, for example, (a) collect both REC's to sell to consumers or the power company and (b) carbon offsets to trade on the carbon market from the same renewable energy produced?
Reasons that this trend could end
German companies prove renewable energy can stand alone — Researchers at the University of Kassel teamed with several German power companies to study the potential of renewable energy sources — hydro, solar, wind and others — to power an entire country. A grid of 36 plants was connected to show, in miniature, that such sources can effectively work together. Now the problem for Germany (and other companies) is scaling the output to meet demand. Much more detail on the study is available at Biopact.
How would a potential US recession impact the alternative energy market?
“In a recession, there is less money around and demand for any source of energy will fall, but alternative energy will fall further as it is less established than conventional sources of energy.” Edmund Shing, European equities strategist at BNP Paribas, added: “Alternative fuels are very likely to be absolutely crucified in the coming months. People are not going to buy stocks where future earnings are in big doubt. If we enter a fully blown bear market, which looks likely, it is difficult seeing these stocks recovering.” In early 2008... “We have seen a big sell-off in alternative fuel stocks. Worries over recession have been the main factor driving them lower,” said Terry Coles, head of the F&C Global Opportunities Fund. Wil the sell off continue? Or will there be a big rebound? Time will tell....
Helping Companies appear more green...and making money while doing it
A company "energy and power solutions", raised $20M for energy efficiency, joining the growing market for helping other companies to be more energy efficient. It puts in green energy generating systms, or helps other companies to figure out how to do so themselves. It has a system called Rebate XChange in which it handles carbon rebats. Customers include Miller Brewing, Tyco and UPS. Funding came frmo NGEN partners and Robeco Groep, in the Netherlands
See also
Links from KookyPlan
External Links
Dow Jones Clean Tech Investor report (daily): http://www.fis.dowjones.com/products/cleanTech.html the new daily e-newsletter and Web site for those putting money to work in the exciting new frontiers of alternative energy and clean technology.
Excellent source of info: http://green.bizjournals.com/?ana=house_grnbiz General admission: http://www.churchillclub.org/
More Green Business Models
Cleantech markets and indices
Cleantech investment fundsA number of venture capital, hedge funds and mutual funds have been created to invest into the cleantech market space, including:
Cleantech investor and entrepreneur membership organizations
Cleantech financial reports and publications
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