Leading Indicators
Economic indicators that help to inform analysts about the direction of the economy:
Table of Contents:
Spread of Junk bonds (high yield bonds) over Treasuries:
If the spread of junk bonds over comparable Treasuries widens, that is a good indicator that bond traders are expecting a recession. Risk premiums, or spreads, on speculative bonds in 10/2008 (the middle of the credit crisis) widened to the highest level since the great depression, indicating that bond speculators were pricing in a huge recession.
Baltic Dry Index:
a benchmark for global freight costs (indicator that mirrors price of shipping bulk products such as iron ore, coal or grains) read more here:
another leading index: measures the rise and fall of manufacturing in the USA....is a leading indicator of economic activity
Trend watchers
see our discussion of global trends
Future prediction?
Here is a list of sites that try to predict what is going to happen next....enjoy...
predicting the future
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